Who will win World Cup 2022 in Qatar? Betting odds, futures, favorites, underdogs, and more

With the 2022 FIFA World Cup in Qatar just months away, and the World Cup group stage drawin the books, it’s time to begin looking at who is expected to win the event and who the plucky underdogs could be.

There are still three berths left to be decided in June with eight teams still in the running for those spots. Peru will face the winner of the Australia vs. United Arab Emirates playoff. Costa Rica will battle New Zealand for another ticket to Qatar. And Wales will host Scotland or Ukraine for the final available group-stage slot.

All three future playoff winners were included alongside the other 29 teams in the group-stage draw on April 1. And the final group pairings and potential knockout round paths have impacted the odds of teams in the field. 

Here’s a full look at the available betting options for the 2022 FIFA World Cup in Qatar, which begins Nov. 21 and concludes on Dec. 18.

WORLD CUP DRAW BREAKDOWNS:
Group A | Group B | Group C | Group D
Group E | Group F | Group G | Group H

Who will win the World Cup? Favorites in 2022

Odds courtesy of: DraftKings (USA) & Sports Interaction (Canada)

Below are the top 10 teams favored to win the 2022 World Cup. The list, unsurprisingly, also comprises the top 10 FIFA-ranked teams in the field.

Not listed of course is sixth-ranked Italy, which failed to qualify after the shocking loss to North Macedonia. Belgium, despite being ranked second in the world, and No. 1 until the most recent rankings, are down below the likes of 7th-ranked Spain and 12th-ranked Germany. There is also little faith in Portugal, with higher odds than Germany and the Netherlands despite being ranked higher.

Nation
FIFA Rank
Odds to Win

DraftKings
Sports
Interaction

Brazil
1
+450
+451

France
3
+600
+550

England
5
+600
+551

Spain
7
+750
+801

Argentina
4
+750
+900

Germany
12
+1000
+1100

Belgium
2
+1200
+1201

Netherlands
10
+1200
+1201

Portugal
8
+1200
+1202

Denmark
11
+2500
+2807

World Cup underdogs

Odds courtesy of: DraftKings (USA) & Sports Interaction (Canada)

Below are the 11 teams with the longest odds who have either already qualified or are still alive in qualification, whether it be via the intercontinental playoff or the remaining UEFA playoff path.

MORE: Which is the Group of Death at the World Cup?

Hosts Qatar, surprisingly, do not appear on this list, with odds about even with the likes of Morocco, Japan, and Ghana. The United States and Mexico also do not appear, with both North American sides right in the middle of the odds pack.

Unsurprisingly, many of the bottom teams are those yet to qualify, as those teams still have the most work to do. This list will change as teams are eliminated from contention this summer.

Nation
FIFA Rank
Odds to Win

DraftKings
Sports
Interaction

Costa Rica*
31
+100000
+50000

New Zealand*
101
+100000
+50000

UAE*
68
+100000
 

Iran
21
+80000
+50000

Saudi Arabia
49
+80000
+25800

Australia*
42
+50000
+49500

South Korea
29
+30000
+25000

Scotland*
39
+30000
+49300

Tunisia
35
+25000
+34700

Canada
38
+25000
+15200

Peru*
22
+25000
+20100

* Yet to secure qualification to 2022 World Cup (June playoffs)

Every team’s World Cup odds

Odds courtesy of: DraftKings (USA) & Sports Interaction (Canada)

Nation
FIFA Ranking
To advance to knockouts
To win group
To win World Cup

DraftKings
Sports
Interaction

DraftKings
Sports
Interaction

DraftKings
Sports
Interaction

Brazil
1
-1400
-909
-270
-231
+450
+451

France
3
-1400
-1250
-270
-250
+600
+550

England
5
-1400
-1988
-300
-303
+600
+551

Argentina
4
-2500
-1250
-300
-251
+750
+900

Spain
7
-650
-909
-125
-120
+750
+801

Germany
12
-450
-625
+115
+120
+1000
+1100

Belgium
2
-1200
-909
-190
-177
+1200
+1201

Portugal
8
-750
-556
-190
-155
+1200
+1202

Netherlands
10
-900
-1000
-200
-247
+1200
+1201

Denmark
11
-225
-175
+300
+303
+2500
+2807

Croatia
16
-140
-175
+275
+233
+4000
+5000

Uruguay
13
-250
-200
+250
+200
+5000
+5000

Senegal
20
-110
+100
+450
+438
+5000
+8040

Switzerland
14
-140
+100
+400
+451
+8000
+8010

Serbia
25
+140
+175
+600
+552
+8000
+14800

Mexico
9
-120
-111
+450
+501
+10000
+14900

USA
15
-150
+100
+700
+549
+10000
+10000

Poland
26
-120
-111
+450
+451
+10000
+12400

Wales*
18
+225
 
+1000
 
+15000
+34400

Ukraine*
27
+700
 
+2000
 
+15000
+24700

Ecuador
46
-105
+100
+500
+595
+15000
+15000

Japan
23
+250
+326
+1400
+1011
+20000
+24900

Morocco
24
+175
+199
+600
+1000
+20000
+25000

Cameroon
37
+250
+242
+1400
+1200
+20000
+20000

Qatar
51
+300
+606
+1000
+1400
+20000
+34600

Ghana
60
+300
+222
+1200
+1100
+20000
+25000

Peru*
22
+350
 
+1200
 
+25000
+20100

Tunisia
36
+500
+248
+2000
+1157
+25000
+34700

Canada
38
+225
+248
+900
+1000
+25000
+15200

South Korea
29
+175
+222
+900
+1100
+30000
+25000

Scotland*
39
+700
 
+2000
 
+30000
+49300

Australia*
42
+800
 
+2500
 
+50000
+49500

Iran
21
+350
+403
+1600
+1920
+80000
+50000

Saudi Arabia
49
+700
+499
+3500
+2000
+80000
+25800

Costa Rica*
31
+550
 
+5000
 
+100000
+50000

UAE*
68
+800
 
+2500
 
+100000
 

New Zealand*
101
+1000
 
+10000
 
+100000
+50000

* Yet to secure qualification to 2022 World Cup (June playoffs)

Odds changes after World Cup draw

Sometimes a group stage draw can change a team’s odds to win the World Cup dramatically, whether the nation receives a favorable or unfavorable path.

The team most affected by the draw was Iran, which was drawn alongside England, the United States, and the unknown UEFA qualifier. Another team that obtained a difficult draw was Saudi Arabia, which saw its odds balloon after being selected alongside Argentina, Mexico, and Poland.

The Netherlands’ odds were predictably cut by a significant margin after being selected in Group A, the same group with hosts Qatar and consequently the only group without a traditional Pot 1 team.

Japan saw its odds slashed, oddly, despite being drawn in one of the most difficult groups alongside Germany and Spain. It’s possible that bettors believe one of the two UEFA teams is ripe for an upset.

Here are the teams whose odds changed most notably after the World Cup draw on April 1.

Nation
Confederation
FIFA Rank
To Win World Cup

Before
After

Saudi Arabia
AFC
49
+50000
+80000

Ecuador
CONMEBOL
46
+25000
+15000

Iran
AFC
21
+25000
+80000

Japan
AFC
23
+40000
+20000

Netherlands
UEFA
10
+1600
+1200

FIFA World Cup winners

Of the 29 qualified teams plus the eight teams still alive in contention for qualification, seven teams have hoisted the World Cup before.

Unsurprisingly, all seven of those teams appear among the top 10 favorites to win this year’s edition, as soccer tradition runs deep.

MORE: Who will have better 2022 World Cup, USA, Canada, or Mexico?

Below is a table of previous World Cup winners involved in the 2022 field. The only team to have previously won a World Cup which did not qualify for this year’s field is Italy. The Azzurri have won the World Cup on four previous occasions.

Nation
World Cup
titles
Years Won

Brazil
5
1958, 1962, 1970, 1994, 2002

Germany
4
1954, 1974, 1990, 2014

Uruguay
2
1930, 1950

France
2
1998, 2018

Argentina
1
1986

Spain
1
2010

England
1
1966

original source here